2012 Obama Campaign Scenarios

>> Tuesday, September 13, 2011

While pondering the present state of the 2012 General Election cycle, I have developed several interesting scenarios concerning Barack Obama  that are perfectly capable of occurring. In the present environment of both a highly energized GOP and a frustrated and fearful left-wing Democrat electorate, it is easy to imagine one of these scenarios actually taking place.

First, as President Obama's approval rating continues to fall amidst a growing unease with his leadership abilities, it's not hard to imagine him announcing another nationally televised speech when he admits he has no answers to our ongoing economic situation and informs America that he will not be seeking re-election to a second term. In fact, if his numbers do not improve by the end of 2011, it's likely the very best thing he could do for his legacy. By announcing his decision not to run for a second term and vowing to dedicate his remaining time in office to working with Congress to find real fixes to America's problems, Obama could leave office still admired by his followers and even forgiven by his political enemies. I must admit, I was somewhat expecting this very thing to occur last Thursday night during the Joint Session, so please...take that into consideration as I unveil these scenarios.

Secondly, because of his obvious narcissistic tendencies, Obama could continue pretending to be POTUS while actually the Panderer-in-Chief, lose the general respectably, and have to live with his failed presidency and infamous legacy.  

Third -  if his numbers continue to fall, Obama could face a landslide loss in the General Election. This should, of course, be an unthinkable thing to say in the wake of the Democrat punditry proclaiming as well as celebrating the death of the GOP during the aftermath of the '08 General Election. And this leads to my fourth scenario -one which is very possible.

Like every other perpetrator of political assassination against a sitting US President or prominent political figure in America's history, some left-winger, most assuredly a Democrat, will take it on his/her self to eliminate a doomed Obama candidacy with a well-placed shot to his brain. Remember, it was a Democrat who shot Lincoln, a left-wing anarchist who murdered McKinley, a communist who fired the magic bullet into Kennedy's cranium, a palestinian activist who took out Robert Kennedy, a Democrat racist who ended MLK's life, a left-wing Manson family-member who tried to kill Gerald Ford, and a crazy weirdo trying to impress a vocally left-wing actress who nearly ended Ronald Reagan's life. One can easily imagine some deranged leftist "nobly" rescuing his party from a shameful defeat in November of 2012 by making room for a more competitive candidate.

Then again, Obama could win re-election. Despite...or perhaps because of...his record, he could win re-election. An ugly symptom of American descent.

All are viable scenarios.

If Obama does happen to be re-elected, I predict he will be forced to resign from office in disgrace during his second term.

But that's another scenario we can explore later, perhaps. 


ELAshley September 13, 2011 at 4:27 PM  

Here's another scenario:

Obama's numbers continue to plummet until, just a week or two before IOWA, Hillary or another Democrat jumps into the race to challenge Obama, forcing Obama to contend with a challenger rather than the Republican field.

ELAshley September 13, 2011 at 4:29 PM  

Oh! And God forbid scenario no. 4 EVER happens. That would be a greater disaster for America than the Obama presidency itself.

Edwin Drood September 13, 2011 at 10:07 PM  

This has got to be the first time in US history that a President is running for re-election (of any kind) for the first time in his career. Most likely were looking at a Rick Perry landslide much like Reagan over Carter.

Jim September 13, 2011 at 10:38 PM  

This has got to be the first time in US history that a President is running for re-election (of any kind) for the first time in his career.

Eisenhower, 1956. Grant 1872.

ELAshley September 14, 2011 at 8:38 AM  

Dwight D. Eisenhower-- Republican --won a huge landslide, losing only seven states in the democratic south; 457 to 73. Obama's not going to win in a landslide. He's not going to win at all.

Ulysses S. Grant-- Republican --another landslide victory; 286 to 66.

Again, Obama's not going to win in a landslide. He's not going to win at all. If he were Republican, and of the stripe of Ronald Reagan, or Dwight Eisenhower or Ulysses S. Grant, he might have a chance. But as he's merely a reflection of Jimmy Carter, and a cloudy one at that, he's going to lose. His name will become a byword, and will be remembered as an embarrassing footnote in American presidential politics.

Edwin Drood September 14, 2011 at 10:29 AM  

Not counting military then, unlike Obama they never set out to be politicians. But the fact that Obama has never had to run on his own record is still a factor. This is apparent when we see him trying to shift blame on Congress. Since Obama's never held an executive positions before he doesn't realize that as an executive you can't shift blame.

This won't matter to people like Jim, they vote for the party more than the person. If you think about it Obama armed drug lords and Jim will still vote for him. I'm pretty sure Jim's vote is in the bag no matter what.

Al-Ozarka September 14, 2011 at 1:15 PM  

"His name will become a byword, and will be remembered as an embarrassing footnote in American presidential politics." - ELAshley

The first president of African-American descent.

The Obama Legacy.

ELAshley September 14, 2011 at 2:06 PM  

It's sad, actually. The first black president staining the hope of future African-Americans who hope to gain the oval office.

One good thing has come out of this, however. No presidential hopeful will ever again be able to escape even the most cursory of inspections by the media. They and the Left will never allow this kind of embarrassment to fall at their doorstep again.

Al-Ozarka September 14, 2011 at 5:22 PM  

You're being sarcastic, right?

Jim September 14, 2011 at 10:33 PM  

So you are claiming that the media didn't research Obama's political career? That they didn't look into the connections to Ayers? That they didn't show videos of Jeremiah Wright's rants? That they didn't read his books?

"But the fact that Obama has never had to run on his own record is still a factor."

Nobody brought up his vote against the Iraq war? Nobody brought up that he had voted "present" a gazillion times? Nobody brought up his "baby-killer" votes?

What the hell was wrong with Fox News, the most watched cable news in America? Didn't they get the message out?

What a crock!

Mark September 15, 2011 at 7:41 AM  

Or...Obama could run against a Republican convention nominated nominee and either lose or win.

Al-Ozarka September 15, 2011 at 1:16 PM  

Jim, you miserable liberal: Of course Fox mentioned all that. Of course Fox broke the numerous stories that would have ended any other politician's aspirations in any normal election cycle. The problem is, however...and it's clear you wish to ignore it...that no OTHER news source seemed to care about Barry- o's background and record. There was only ONE news source attempting to vet the candidate. The rest hyped him like he was Jesus Christ himself. Scumbags.

Jim September 15, 2011 at 10:34 PM  

So uh, Al, you [insert ad hominem attack here]: Since I watch mostly MSNBC, Meet the Press, This Week, Face the Nation and subscribe to the NY Times, how come I knew about all that stuff?

"The rest hyped him like he was Jesus Christ himself."

Yeah, whatever.

Al-Ozarka September 16, 2011 at 12:08 PM  

No attack, Jimbo. Just stating an obvious fact gleaned from your miserable posts.

However, you said, "What the hell was wrong with Fox News, the most watched cable news in America? Didn't they get the message out?"

Yes, they did. But your choices for info either ignored it or dismissed it. Great job, MSNBC, ABC, CNN, NBC, NYT, WP, etc. Great freaking job indeed!

How's that hope and change workin' for ya, Jimbo?

BenT - the unbeliever,  September 16, 2011 at 3:04 PM  

"According to the latest NBC-WSJ poll, Democrats approve of [Pres. Obama's] performance by an 81%-14% margin. That’s stronger than President Clinton’s support among Democrats at this point in his term and, according to Gallup, stronger than any Democratic President dating back to Harry Truman through this point in their presidency.”

There will be no Democratic primary challenge to Pres. Obama. And the Republican candidates are campaigning so far to the right to win their primary, that it will be hard for them to return to the center to win the moderates and independents that a candidate must capture to win the White House.

Jim September 16, 2011 at 9:28 PM  

"How's that hope and change workin' for ya, Jimbo?"

Where have I heard that before? Wink, wink.

Surely better than bomb, bomb Iran.

Al-Ozarka September 18, 2011 at 5:17 AM  

You didn't answer the question, Jimbo. I wonder why that is?

Jim September 18, 2011 at 10:07 PM  

Wonder all you like, Al-bo. It should be obvious.

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Young Turk:
Date: 1908
Function: noun
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:an insurgent or a member of an insurgent group especially in a political party : radical; broadly
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